Great read as always Cobber...

Yeah, that Cyclone should definitely brew up I reckon, given the monsoon trough location... which should also help to keep pushing it south before it curves.

Keep a bloody close eye on it tho, if it deepens earlier or further east in the Timor Sea than current prediction it could do what about 3 of them did last year and hug the coast.

Old Sailors trick, face the wind and the cyclone is over your left shoulder, if it is South of West you can start to relax a tad (less dangerous quadrant), if its North of West (most dangerous quadrant) it may well still have you in its sights... apparently cyclones only like going downhill :-)